渤海湾曹妃甸附近海域地质灾害风险评价

    Geological hazard risk assessment of the sea area near Caofeidian, Bohai Bay

    • 摘要: 本文基于渤海湾曹妃甸附近海域实测地球物理数据和地质样品资料,采用层次分析和模糊数学评价方法,建立了以地震、直接型地质灾害、间接型地质灾害、沉积物底质临界侵蚀剪切力为评价指标的灾害风险评价体系,将研究区地质灾害分为低风险、较低风险、中等风险、较高风险、高风险5个风险等级,按2 km×2 km的网格大小剖分为1 008个单元,对每个单元逐一进行评价。研究结果表明:曹妃甸南部海域超过75%的区域属于低风险和中低风险,25%的区域属于较高风险和高风险,高风险主要分布在研究区的东北部,主要受活动断层控制。评价结果与已查明地质灾害分布特征一致,可为该海域的工程建设规划、施工安全保障及灾害防治提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract: Based on measured geophysical data and geological sample data, a geological hazard risk assessment system was established with evaluation indicators including earthquakes, direct geological hazards, indirect geological hazards, and critical erosion shear stress of sediment substrates using analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy mathematics evaluation method. The geological hazards in the study area were classified into five risk levels: low risk, relatively low risk, medium risk, relatively high risk, and high risk. The study area was divided into 1 008 units in grid of 2 km × 2 km, and each unit was evaluated one by one. Results show that more than 75% of the sea area south of Caofeidian is at low and medium-low risk, and 25% is at relatively high and high risk. High-risk areas are mainly distributed in the northeast of the study area, mainly controlled by active faults. The evaluation results are consistent with the identified distribution characteristics of geological hazards, and can provide a scientific basis for engineering construction planning, construction safety assurance, and disaster prevention in this sea area.

       

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