珠江口沉积物粒度变化对西太强台风路径变化的响应

    Change in grain size of sediments in the Pearl River estuary reflects the northward movement of typhoon in the NW Pacific

    • 摘要: 在全球气候变暖和海岸带快速城市化的背景下,台风活动强度、频率的任何极端变化,必将严重威胁海岸带地区社会经济的可持续发展。本文采集了珠江口地区的柱状样沉积物进行210Pb测年和粒度分析,讨论该地区近200 a来沉积动力变化及物质来源的主导因素,得出沉积物中的砂粒含量作为珠江口地区台风影响强度变化参数,并利用该参数重建珠江口地区近200 a来的台风强度记录。结果显示1840—1920年期间珠江口地区台风活动持续增强,1920—1958年期间台风影响强度波动较大,而1958年至今台风影响强度在逐渐减弱。珠江口地区台风活动变化与全球气温呈反比,随着全球气温升高,珠江口地区台风活动逐渐减弱,该现象支持西北太平洋强台风路径发生由南部向北转移,这为中国沿海城市未来的气候应对策略提供了新的视角。

       

      Abstract: With global warming and rapid urbanization of coastal areas, the extreme changes in typhoon activity will seriously threaten the sustainable development of economy and society in coastal areas. In this study, the core sediment from the Pearl River estuary area were collected, and 210Pb dating and grain size analysis were carried out. Based on the test results, the main factors of sedimentary dynamic changes and material sources in this area in the past 200 years were discussed. The sand content in the sediment was used as the typhoon intensity variation parameter in the Pearl River estuary, and the typhoon intensity records in the Pearl River estuary in recent 200 years were reconstructed with this parameter. Results show that the typhoon intensity in the Pearl River estuary during 1840–1920 continued to increase, and fluctuated greatly during 1920–1958, while the typhoon intensity has gradually weakened since 1958. The intensity of typhoon in the Pearl River estuary is inversely proportional to the global temperature. With the global temperature rising, typhoon intensity in the Pearl River estuary gradually weakened. This conclusion supports the view that the strong typhoon attack in the Northwest Pacific will shift from the south to the north, which provides a new perspective for the strategies of coastal cities in China in responding to future climate changes.

       

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